Video Games and Movies, the two business channels that were least hit
by floundering worldwide economics. Box Office receipts and attendance
are at or near records and the growth of gaming, while pausing
slightly, still stands out as a tech sector on the rise. With gaming
options like Nintendo's (NTDOY) Wii & DS, Apple's (AAPL) iPod Touch & iPhone, Microsoft's (MSFT) XBox and Sony's (SNE) Playstation 3 & PSP the kids (and ever increasing adults) these days have choices aplenty.
The
Electronic Entertainment Expo goes on as we speak and it has been an
interesting couple of days with keynote speeches by the big 3 console
makers; Microsoft, Nintendo & Sony. While its been common knowledge
that Nintendo and its motion controlled & causal gamer placed Wii
has been the big winner in this generation of the console wars, with
NDP data showing it outselling the XBox by 2:1 and the PS3 by a factor
of 2.5:1 lately, the true test is likely to be longevity.
It's
no surprise that laggards Microsoft and Sony had to deliver something
to excite fans and developers in order to gain traction against
Nintendo. It was the folks from Redmond up first yesterday with a
keynote speech that excited not only the XBox faithful but
fence-sitters alike.
Not only was the XBox opened up for several
applications including social networks Twitter and Facebook and music
streaming service Last.fm, it also introduced several enticing games
and a entirely new control system.
It was the control system
that garnered the heaviest reaction. "Project Natal", as it was coined,
gives players a way to become the controller for their games. A camera
system with facial and voice recognition follows a player's movements
and can translate them onscreen for gaming interactions. The Microsoft
team showed off several demos, straight out of Minority Report, of the
"still-in-development" technology but it was very promising and it goes
completely the other way from Nintendo's popular Wii motion controls. A
development high-point for Microsoft in the gaming world? Or would Sony
steal some thunder with their own announcements just a day later?
Sony's
day had arrived and the company had several announcements to make,
first a foremost another handheld system, dubbed the PSP Go. Sony will
continue selling its existing PSP which has slowly but surely been
selling very well for the company (although not as well as Nintendo's
DS line or Apple's iPod Touch). With this new version Sony is going to
full digital distribution for games and media making it a direct
competitor to the aforementioned iPod. With 16GB of storage it
undercuts the iPod's price by $50 ($249 vs $299).
Not to be
outdone, Sony also jumped into the Motion Control business with a new
controller. Internet outlets were quick to praise Sony's efforts as the
motion control (based on a similar technology as Hollywood CGI &
Motion Capture) allow the player to use the controller for a vast
spectrum of game situations with incredible control accuracy. One of
the demos showed off how to "air-write" with the controller, with
incredibly precise results. The difference between Sony's and
Microsoft's new controller entries is that in Microsoft's case the
player actually need a controller to play.
Along with an army of
popular game developers, both Sony and Microsoft made their case to the
video game community that they are not only in the business to try and
win and despite Nintendo's early lead, but also want to allow this
generation of console hardware to still go strong. If today's
announcement are any indiciation there's plenty of innovation left in
the space. But what does E3 have to do with Investing?
Sony,
despite its size is a vast gaming operation, and with the company
posting its first yearly loss, it needs the Gaming operation to deliver
incredible results in the years going forward. This will not happen
without 1) Exciting innovations in the hardware (and lower costs) and
2) Developers excited about making games for that hardware. Sony has
been in 3rd place in console sales since the PS3 launch but it has a
long lifetime committed to the platform and even still sells a lot of
PS2 machines. The bet on Blu-Ray as a standard will be debated for a
long time as to whether it helped or hurt the PS3 in its early years,
but the fact remains that Sony still loses money on each sale. The one
thing consumers are clamoring for they still haven't received with the
machine and that's a deeper price cut! Until it can cut those costs,
Sony may simply have to suffer through more months at number 3 on the
sales charts.
But with an upcoming stable of games, the new PSP
Go and an impressive Motion Controller demo Sony is hitting the right
track with Gamers and Developers, and Sony's stock followed suit with a
gain of over 2% to close at $28/share.
Microsoft on the other
hand, prints money from Windows and Office and doesn't really need a
Gaming division, or does it? It in fact needs the XBox to succeed now
more than ever for one simple reason. Image! Microsoft has a huge image
problem amongst the computer using youth, with a floundering Windows
Mobile team being eclipsed by Apple's iPhone, the disaster that was
Windows Vista opening the door to more mainstream Mac usage, and the
ignorance of anything related to Search the company can come up with
due to Google's dominance in the area. This "Old-man's" Microsoft,
being out-innovated by hipster companies will eventually trickle down
to its core businesses.
The devices group may be that saving
grace, while the Zune hadn't exactly lit anything on fire, the original
XBox was a good start that has picked up steam with the XBox 360. The
innovations of Project Natal, specifically the player controller, are
the kinds of things the computer buying youth can get excited about,
and once you've got them, if Microsoft can link the XBox brand with the
Microsoft corporate image, a Windows user may come back or emerge.
Microsoft stock was up about 2% on the day of its E3 speech and sits at
$21.40/share.
While Video Games may have been child's play in
the past, this business is as important as ever and some of the biggest
tech names on the planet rely on a little old conference to reshape an
entire corporate vision. Maybe its time to put a little stock into what
things like E3 and those who attend have to say.